I believe we’re approaching the end of an era—potentially the last cycle where I, as an engineer, partner with founders to build their products while they fund the development. My intuition suggests this shift could happen within the next six months to three years, though exceptions will always exist. We’ve entered a phase where relying on large teams and big budgets is becoming unwise. Instead, the future favors small, agile teams—sometimes as small as one founder and one engineer, both leveraging AI tools to maximize efficiency.
This cycle is defined by a transition to minimal teams. A single, capable engineer with a strong software development background can now use emerging AI tools to achieve what once required entire teams. The current iteration of this cycle likely began in the past three to six months, marked by the maturation of tools like Cursor, GitHub Copilot, and Grok 3—IDEs and LLMs natively built for coding tasks such as code prediction and automation.
By the end of this year, or at most within one to three years, we’ll likely enter a new era where most companies no longer hire engineers. Founders who continue to rely on hiring engineers risk financial strain, as they’ll spend heavily while competitors leverage AI to build faster and cheaper.
To make the most of this final cycle, I’m focusing on partnering with the right founders—those at the right stage, with the right mentality, and aligned with my vision. I aim to secure three to five high-quality clients to maximize the next six to twelve months. These partnerships will be intense, collaborative efforts to build products using AI tools to accelerate development.
However, this cycle demands a shift. Rather than seeking new leads to replace these clients after hand-off, I plan to redirect that time and energy into my own ideas—building my own companies, products, and tools. This is critical because engineers who don’t pivot to founding their own ventures risk obsolescence as AI tools mature and reduce the need for hired technical talent.
Within a year, founders who rely on engineers to build their products will struggle to compete. They’ll hemorrhage money on salaries while competitors use AI to move faster. Similarly, engineers who don’t found their own companies or build their own products will face diminishing opportunities. AI tools are rapidly approaching a point where they can handle most development tasks, making traditional engineering roles less essential.
This isn’t imminent enough to halt all action, but it’s close enough to demand preparation. A year is both a lifetime and a blink in tech. The solution is to act now—build, adapt, and embrace the tools. Waiting for AI to fully mature will leave you lagging behind those who’ve been iterating all along.
For founders, the key is to partner with a specific type of engineer—one who can navigate this transitional period effectively. This engineer should combine deep expertise with broad familiarity, embracing AI tools to stay competitive.
Founders should go all-in on this person, learning as much as possible about their processes. If the engineer has blind spots—say, in design—founders can use AI-driven design tools to prototype and hand off assets. The engineer, in turn, must be open to feedback, refining AI-generated outputs (e.g., React code from LLMs) and helping founders improve their prompts. This collaboration maximizes efficiency and prepares founders for a future where they may rely less on human engineers.
To my fellow developers: the time to act is now. Every idea you’ve dismissed as too risky, too niche, or likely to fail—build it. The experience of creating, shipping, and iterating is invaluable, even if the product doesn’t succeed. Build tools you’d use yourself, things you believe should exist. Use them, improve them, and make them valuable to others.
Don’t let fear of failure or competition stop you. Most ideas will fail, but the process of building hones your skills and prepares you for the one that succeeds. The alternative—waiting for the market to stabilize—means falling behind.
As AI tools commoditize technical skills, novelty and creativity will become the primary assets for both founders and engineers. Large companies like xAI, Google, and Microsoft will dominate with their vast data and computational resources, but individual creativity can still carve out a niche.
This aligns with the concept of an AI singularity—a point where technology reshapes everything. I liken it to reaching escape velocity through a black hole, emerging into a new universe of possibilities. Every individual has the potential to create their own “Big Bang” of innovation, driving a new wave of value creation.
We’re on a speeding bullet train to a launch pad, where a rocket is fueling up for takeoff. This rocket represents the rapid advancement of AI, propelling us toward a future where dependency on human engineers diminishes. We’re approaching escape velocity—a point where most software development tasks can be handled by AI, enabling founders to ship and maintain products without traditional engineering support.
This isn’t a reason to wait—it’s a call to action. Partner with the right people, embrace the tools, and build relentlessly. Those who wait for AI to “arrive” will be outpaced by those who’ve been leveraging it all along. For engineers, this means founding your own ventures and creating novel solutions. For founders, it means learning from your technical partners and preparing to navigate a future where AI is your primary tool.